Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.297329 0.346366 0.401104 0.466767 0.543448 0.630231 0.735999
2025-01-26 0.229407 0.296610 0.379898 0.490874 0.635168 0.816855 1.063695
2025-02-02 0.193767 0.269041 0.369255 0.512792 0.713788 0.986275 1.385547
2025-02-09 0.167520 0.246461 0.357858 0.527103 0.778916 1.141615 1.707192
2025-02-16 0.145608 0.225164 0.343203 0.531911 0.827815 1.277017 2.016454
2025-02-23 0.126698 0.204783 0.325920 0.528574 0.861594 1.391467 2.307095
2025-03-02 0.109046 0.183436 0.303584 0.513021 0.872140 1.468479 2.545576
2025-03-09 0.100230 0.175041 0.300524 0.527884 0.933667 1.635200 2.956420
2025-03-16 0.090575 0.163759 0.290887 0.529642 0.971921 1.765770 3.320327
2025-03-23 0.083578 0.156140 0.286427 0.539576 1.025370 1.928937 3.765274
2025-03-30 0.074771 0.144014 0.272234 0.529397 1.039450 2.020290 4.084273
2025-04-06 0.067650 0.134140 0.260937 0.523066 1.059630 2.124897 4.442625
2025-04-13 0.062162 0.126922 0.254135 0.525298 1.098345 2.273395 4.918019
2025-04-20 0.059802 0.125717 0.259087 0.552194 1.191693 2.546100 5.699664
2025-04-27 0.057386 0.124060 0.262841 0.576922 1.283520 2.827340 6.541535
2025-05-04 0.054386 0.120755 0.262693 0.593064 1.358461 3.081407 7.358945
2025-05-11 0.050784 0.115664 0.258052 0.598487 1.409680 3.288673 8.096514
2025-05-18 0.046850 0.109334 0.249897 0.594723 1.438829 3.448471 8.741978
2025-05-25 0.042363 0.101179 0.236638 0.577180 1.432495 3.522860 9.183769
2025-06-01 0.040574 0.099206 0.237505 0.593945 1.512896 3.819477 10.244999
2025-06-08 0.038016 0.095053 0.232685 0.595927 1.556085 4.028319 11.104215
2025-06-15 0.036205 0.092540 0.231554 0.607134 1.624653 4.311375 12.209738
2025-06-22 0.033334 0.086984 0.222194 0.595652 1.631222 4.431431 12.874534